QUOTE (ZoomSlowik @ Jul 23 2007, 11:35 AM)
I assume you mean Aaron Brooks from the draft. I wouldn't expect to see much of him at all, not when you already have James, Francis, and Alston in front of him. Even if Alston gets traded, that's a good number of minutes eaten up. He'll be at best the 3rd PG off the bench this year unless they clear out a few bodies. He's basically the same player as John Lucas, though probably a bit quicker. Landry is about the same, an undersized PF off the bench that won't have much of an impact.
Head is easily one of their best outside shooters, arguably #1 given his production last year. He hit 44.1% of his 3's and hit over 2 3's per game. That's hard to do. So what if he had a bad series, he's still a very good option from out there, his stroke from outside was right on par with Battier. And if they trade Alston they lose another fairly capable outside shooter, Alston hit 2.3 per game at 36.3% (though James fills that in a bit, not as many made 3's but a good percentage and less shot-happy). Francis and Wells (not really an addition, he was there last year) aren't really shooters, so if they trade Alston you're basically looking at a push in that department. Actually, if anything McGrady should stop shooting so many 3's, he hasn't cracked 34% from the arc in 4 years, at that kind of conversion rate he needs to focus on driving and his mid-range game more. Obviously some are late in the shot clock forced attempts, but he doesn't really need to force the attempts as much as he did in Orlando (where he actually hit a better percentage).
Scola and James will definitely help, both of those guys are capable options that can fill in as role players. Wells will also probably be more of a factor this year, though you never know with those nagging injuries. Francis, and to a lesser extent Alston, are two guys that can really screw things up though, both guys are shot-happy lead guards on a team that doesn't really need that. Plus with the wing positions getting fairly crowded, Wells also might not get enough opportunities (T-Mac/Battier/Head eat up a lot of those minutes, and Francis could see time at the 2 as well), and he's often been a problem when that happens. Those guys all have the potential to take a potentially loaded team and screw up the chemistry. I'd honestly feel better about their chances if all 3 were off the roster (well, certainly the first two, Wells can potentially be a big asset when he's healthy and happy, like he appears to be now).
Don't get me wrong, they have definitely improved and should be a big factor in the west. I'm just not ready to hand them the trophy just yet, especially not with San Antonio and Phoenix being major threats and some potential chemistry issues that I just mentioned.
Yes I did mean Brooks. I thought I fixed that. Anyway, I got it right in the first post. Although you may disagree, Brooks is way better than Lucas. Brooks is going to be the sleeper of this draft. Nobody had him going higher than 24 and it's b/c of his height. However, what he lacks in height, he'll make up with his playmaking ability, his quickness, & his outside shot. He's going to be a very good player. I know summer league is just summer league but I think the numbers he posted up speak for themselves. The only thing he'll need to really improve on is his turnovers and that is usually the case with most young pg's.
What they need to do is package Lucas and Alston either together or seperately for future picks or to someone like Atlanta to try and get something decent player like Marvin Williams or a big man like Sheldon Williams or Solomon Jones. The 3 point shooting that you mentioned is a little off. First of all, Brooks will play a bigger role than you think and his 3 point shooting is better than Alston's. Alston shoots way to many 3's and can't even make the open ones most of the time. I agree that Head is a good 3 point shooter but he really choked in their playoff series. I'm not saying to get rid of him, I just think that what the Rockets did to improve their 3 point shooting was excellent. They brought in James who is a better % shooter and knows when and when not to shoot and they drafted Brooks who is a good outside shooter. I'll take those 2 over Alston any day. Getting rid of Alston is going to be addition by subtraction. You'll then have good outside shooters in Head/James/Battier/Brooks & although you don't want to hear it T-mac. And yes I do agree that he shouldn't shoot so many 3's but like you mentioned about half of them come when the shot clock is running out and his teammates rely on him to shoot the ball.
As for the whole Steve Francis thing. I would have picked the Rockets as favorites without him so if he doesn't work the Rockets will simply cut him. However, I think you and everyone else underestimate what type of value he could potentially bring to the Rockets. Like you said, he is great at driving to the basket and creating his own offense. That is something that besides T-mac last year, the Rockets simply did not have.
As for Bonzi Wells he is definately an addition since he really wasn't "there" last year if you know what I mean. You were smart to acknowledge that you know he could be a very valuable player for the Rockets if his head is in the right place. For a SG I would say that Bonzi probably has the best post game at his position in the NBA. Now that is assuming that he actually plays. He's also a good/great rebounder for a SG. However, I really believe that being reunited with his former coach will help correct the problems he had with the Rockets last season.
So in short, the Rockets should trade Lucas/Alston and try to get another backup C/PF. It would be a very smart move and like you said, it would clear up some of the congestion at PG. You would then be left with James/Francis/Brooks (that is assuming Francis can beat Brooks out for the 2nd spot). I really think we'll see the Rockets use the smaller backcourt this year with Francis playing the 2 occasionally. In the end if Francis doesn't work out that just means more minutes for Brooks which will be more of a good thing.
The Spurs are the Spurs but they are a year older as well. The fact that they let Scola go to the Rockets is going to come back to bite them in the ass. As for the Suns, besides Grant Hill (who is just as if not more injury prone than Bonzi Wells) what have the Suns done this offseason to improve their team. And I don't call trading Kurt Thomas who was your best Tim Duncan defender away and giving up 2 future 1st round picks a great decision. They couldn't win last year with everything they had and I doubt now just b/c they added Grant Hill that they'll be winning a title this year. It is definately possible but both Grant and Nash are 1 year older and more injury prone at this stage of their career.