QUOTE (Balta1701-B @ Jun 9 2008, 06:57 PM)
Like it or not, we better make plans to develop multiple guys. Because otherwise, there's no reason to hold on to the pick. You're not going to have Rose or Beasley carry you to even the conference finals at age 19, or frankly probably age 20 or 21 either. Even if you add a guy like Brand, you're not winning a title next year or likely the year after. But conversely, you can't not play them if you draft them, because they're a #1 pick. If you want to win next year, I think you have to try to talk the Heat in to trading you Wade for the pick. Otherwise, give it 2 years, try to move Hinrich/Noch/Gordon to clear up some cap room after 2010, and look to win 75 games in 2010-2011.
I've heard this argument before, but I just don't agree you can't win now and win later with a guy like Brand and drafting Rose. I think you can do both. First of all, since when in 29 old? Past prime? Barely. But old? No. Brand most definitely still has about 5-6 more years of being 18-8 capable. He hasn't scored under 20 ppg in the last 4 seasons (not counting this one in which he played 8 games), so there's really no reason to think he'll all of a sudden stop that production.
So, let's say Rose takes 3 years to fully develop. Brand will only be 32 for a majority of that season. That gives us (at worst) 2 more years before Brand will likely see a downfall in production. However, Rose will be much better by then, so that will offset Brand's lesser production. Rose will be 22, Deng will be 26, and Noah will be 26. I'm just gonna point out those 3 b/c they are about the closest guarantees for being on the team in 3 years.
Now, I'm not saying Brand is my 1st option. But, I do believe he would be a welcome addition to this team. If we draft Rose, we need to find a way to get rid of Hinrich or Gordon (likely Hinrich), so snagging someone like Brand for him would be great.
Also, Brand becomes a free agent in 2009. If we re-sign him to, even, say ~$12 million/yr for 5 years, that makes him a free agent when he's 35. Also, it leaves us plenty of cap room (if we find a way to trade Nocioni and Gordon as well as Hinrich) to go after one of the big time free agents in 2010. If you add Brand now, and then sign a LeBron or Wade, then that puts us in a prime spot to win a championship. A lot better spot than if we trade, for example, Hinrich for a draft pick and then take someone who in no way in proven like Brand is.